Updated daily at 06:00 UTC
Football predictions today, backed by statistics
Our Dixon-Coles + Elo model estimates expected goals for every match, then turns them into probabilities for 1X2, Over/Under 2.5 and Both Teams To Score. No streaks, no gut feeling — just maths.
Free · Independent · Added daily · Never fake fixtures
Latest picks
Data as of Saturday, 31 October 2026 — refreshed daily at 06:00 UTC
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Results
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Most likely exact scores today
The bottom line of our model: the most probable exact scoreline for every pick today — useful for correct-score and scorecast markets.
How our predictions work
Each match is evaluated as an independent event. The model outputs a probability for the 1X2 result, totals and Both Teams To Score, plus a recommended pick and its fair price. This is statistical analysis for information purposes — not a promise of profit. 18+, bet responsibly.
Updated daily at 06:00 UTC from football-data.org. Real fixtures only — we never display invented matches.
About today's football predictions
XWhiz produces football predictions every day from a Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model combined with Elo ratings, using real fixtures from public sports data. Every pick includes a 1X2 recommendation, expected goals, Over/Under 2.5 and BTTS probabilities, plus the most likely correct score.
Why the model varies scores naturally
We never fabricate a scoreline. The most likely score is the one with the highest probability inside the model's score matrix, so you see natural variety — 2-0, 1-2, 3-1, 2-2 — instead of forced or repeated 1-1s. Predictions refresh daily at 06:00 UTC.