La Liga features some of the most technically gifted teams in world football. Our model analyses every La Liga fixture with the same rigorous statistical approach used for the Premier League, covering Real Madrid, Barcelona, Atletico Madrid and all 20 teams.
La Liga prediction methodology
We combine Elo ratings with La Liga standings data to calculate attack and defence strength ratings for each team. The Dixon-Coles Poisson model then generates expected goals and full market probabilities. La Liga matches tend to be lower-scoring than the Premier League, which the model accounts for naturally.