The Premier League is the most-watched football league in the world, and our Dixon-Coles model provides statistical predictions for every match. We analyse team strength from Elo ratings and real league standings, then calculate expected goals, 1X2 probabilities, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS and the most likely correct score.
How we predict Premier League matches
Our model uses historical data from hundreds of Premier League matches to calibrate team attack and defence ratings. These are combined with Elo ratings for a robust strength estimate. The Dixon-Coles adjustment corrects for the low-scoring nature of football, giving accurate probabilities for 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 and 1-1 draws.
Premier League betting markets
We cover all major Premier League betting markets: 1X2, Double Chance, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, correct score, Asian handicap and both-half predictions. Every pick includes fair odds so you can compare against your bookmaker.